Fertility modelling

Mare Vähi

Abstract


In order to describe age-specific fertility curves, different theoretical approaches are employed. By modelling a time-variant fertility curve, it is possible to forecast reproductive behaviour of Estonian women in the future. The approach provided here is a novel way to forecast fertility.

Keywords


age-specific fertility rate; beta distribution; forecast

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.12697/poa.2017.26.1.09

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ISSN 1406-0140 (print)
ISSN 1736-7646 (online)
Journal DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12697/issn1406-0140