Possible future scenarios of teacher professionalism for 2035
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12697/eha.2020.8.1.08Keywords:
professionalism, teachers, scenario method, key drives of futureAbstract
Kiired üleilmsed muutused mõjutavad õpetajatööd ja -ametit. Artikli eesmärk on selgitada võtmetegurid, mis mõjutavad ootusi õpetaja professionaalsusele, ning konstrueerida tulevikustsenaariumid 2035. aastani, et tuua esile võimalikud alternatiivsed arengurajad ja neile suundumist mõjutavad võtmetegurid üldhariduse kontekstis. Stsenaariumide peamine funktsioon pole ennustamine, vaid pigem püüd tulevikku ennetada, ärgitades selle üle arutlema ning hariduspoliitika strateegilisel planeerimisel võimalike tulevikuteedega arvestama. Stsenaariumimeetod põhineb tuleviku võtmetegurite valikul, nende vastastikuse mõju analüüsil ja stsenaariumide lugude koostamisel. Stsenaariumide aluseks valitud õpetaja töökeskkonda oluliselt mõjutavad võtmetegurid on võimalikud muutused õpetajate ametisse sisenemisel ja alternatiivsed haridustehnoloogia arengutendentsid. Nende kahe dimensiooni alusel on visandatud neli võimalikku õpetaja professionalismi stsenaariumi: "digitark arengusuunaja", "tehnoloogiakaubamaja instruktor", "biheivioristlik tööampsutaja" ja "arenguline paradoks".
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